Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 9.332700 10.818729 12.413508 14.246366 16.288547 18.487924 21.029459
2025-03-16 7.242794 9.134565 11.297226 13.932370 17.035311 20.551528 24.814766
2025-03-23 6.025653 8.162109 10.736566 14.025671 18.071402 22.839281 28.833335
2025-03-30 5.067417 7.325547 10.178363 13.977699 18.829295 24.738589 32.393454
2025-04-06 4.412175 6.764455 9.864142 14.144729 19.789004 26.857501 36.244581
2025-04-13 3.883231 6.290851 9.589746 14.298128 20.687054 28.886426 40.013612
2025-04-20 3.530633 6.012214 9.533304 14.706716 21.903323 31.334886 44.371090
2025-04-27 3.194898 5.711562 9.404712 14.982409 22.924165 33.536322 48.453169
2025-05-04 2.832045 5.321888 9.102705 14.972158 23.523562 35.169004 51.806919
2025-05-11 2.370279 4.714740 8.414468 14.335921 23.182532 35.479421 53.357158
2025-05-18 2.067589 4.331699 8.030763 14.113552 23.403258 36.547278 55.944885
2025-05-25 1.784083 3.944105 7.600656 13.779792 23.425496 37.314030 58.112599
2025-06-01 1.567830 3.652361 7.303814 13.636023 23.725518 38.490788 60.902391
2025-06-08 1.346532 3.319686 6.904604 13.293024 23.691571 39.165758 62.979444
2025-06-15 1.216074 3.147579 6.767296 13.366355 24.299034 40.792760 66.462084
2025-06-22 1.082989 2.950777 6.566056 13.313355 24.694398 42.104187 69.506468
2025-06-29 0.991575 2.829984 6.492637 13.471182 25.428603 43.941240 73.364017
2025-07-06 0.908000 2.714452 6.417669 13.617547 26.143298 45.761320 77.232339
2025-07-13 0.859138 2.672300 6.480228 14.010107 27.276605 48.254144 82.164433
2025-07-20 0.800962 2.599460 6.474704 14.275156 28.200613 50.439095 86.672516
2025-07-27 0.721929 2.462686 6.326804 14.265204 28.651029 51.883314 90.073797
2025-08-03 0.600152 2.193338 5.876322 13.653079 28.030055 51.593889 90.784084
2025-08-10 0.524801 2.033879 5.643187 13.439185 28.088871 52.389452 93.187194